Day two of the Newmarket July meeting has me wondering what on earth comes over some people when faced with naming their equine pride and joy.
Feature race on today’s card is the Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes at 3.35 and the favourite at 9-4 is a filly by War Front out of a mare called Misty For Me, which explains why she is called, er, Roly Poly.
Leaving that aside, this Aiden You-Know-Who trained hope must be sick and tired of watching her stablemate Winter disappear into the distance in the final furlong, having been beaten a total of 7 lengths in her last two races. Those races were Group 1s, however and that level of form is quite hard to find in this particular renewal.
The William Haggas trained Sea of Grace provides the main opposition (in the betting, at least), having finished second to Precieuse in the French Guineas back in May. However, the winner has done little for the form since and, with the trainer expressing serious doubts about the going suitability, she must be discounted this afternoon.
Lurking on the 4-1 mark is the Charlie Appleby trained, unbeaten Wuheida, who, having taken the statutory maiden (on this course) followed up by taking the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Chantilly last October. This Dubawi filly went into the winter as Godolphin’s main hope for this season’s Classics, but had the misfortune to suffer a stress fracture and only re-appears today.
In the context of this race Wuheida’s form is different class and, with confident noises emanating from the yard, we recommend a win bet.
The other Group race on the card is at 2.25 in the shape of the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes, an event for 2-y-os over 6 furlongs and no prizes for guessing who trains the favourite for this.
Clemmie is trading at no bigger than 13-8 as we write, on the back of an easy win in a Group 3 at the Curragh just twelve days ago. That was Clemmie’s third race only and, on the grounds that she is improving rapidly, we must have a few quid on this one for starters.
However, there is another investment to be made in this race, oh yes indeedy.
Before winning her Group 3, Clemmie contested the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot, finishing 7th, beaten nearly 5 lengths. Finishing strongly in 4th was the James Given trained Mistress Of Venice, sent off at 66-1. This was the day at Ascot when there was a pronounced bias in favour of the far side runners, which is where Clemmie raced. The first two home ran hard against the far side rail and were 3 lengths ahead of the near side field. So, here’s the thing – Mistress Of Venice was two lengths in front of Clemmie, even though she raced on the ‘wrong’ side and today can be backed at six times the price.
I think we will recommend an each way bet on Mistress Of Venice at 10-1, shall we?
There are three handicaps on the card, with the 1.50 probably being at the mercy of the John Gosden trained 3-y-o Parfait, and a win bet at 9-4 is advised. Also in that race, have a small each way bet on Lefortovo at 25-1 to cause a surprise.
In the Bet365 Handicap at 3.00, we like the look of the Ian Williams’ trained Speedo Boy at 14-1 and the 5.50 should provide Godolphin with another winner with Finishing Touch at 11-8.
Wuheida 3.35 – win bet @ 4-1
Clemmie 2.25 win bet @ 13-8
Mistress Of Venice 2.25 e/w bet @ 10-1
Parfait 1.50 win bet @ 11-4
Lefortovo 1.50 e/w bet @ 25-1
Speedo Boy 3.00 e/w bet @ 14-1
Finishing Touch 5.50 win bet @ 11-8