On to Day 4 of the Qatar Goodwood Festival and, as per, the feature race is at 3.35, when the Qatar King George Stakes takes place over the minimum trip.
12 runners are due to go to post, but however many actually turn up, Clive Cox’s 5-y-o Profitable will be the favourite. Currently available at 9-4, this mud lover is already a Group 1 winner, having taken the King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot last year and, although his form tailed off a bit towards the end of last season, in finishing second to Lady Aurelia at the Royal meeting this year, he showed his ability is undiminished.
Main danger looks to be the much-improved 3-y-o Battaash, who has looked a completely different horse since ‘he’ became ‘sans nuts’, breaking the course record in a Group 3 at Sandown last month. However, this Dark Angel gelding has yet to encounter soft ground or compete at this more exalted level, so we make Profitable a confident choice as a win bet in this race.
The card kicks off with the Group 3 Betfred Glorious Stakes over 12 furlongs and, in the absence of the original jolly, we think Lord Yeats is the value bet at 4-1. A big improver at the age of four, Lord Yeats has won both starts this season, a York handicap and a Newmarket Listed contest, both times with plenty of cut and this determined front-runner will take some passing down the straight.
The second race at 2.25 is also a Group contest, the Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes over a mile and David Menuisier’s charge Make Time looks the one to be on here, at 100-30. An easy winner of a Salisbury maiden on soft ground last season, this Makfi colt trailed in a well-beaten 7th on first start as a 3-y-o, but at a time when the yard was suffering the effects of a virus. Make Time showed his true colours at Sandown last month, when winning a Class 3 handicap by 6 lengths off a mark of 91. Now rated 103, there is plenty of improvement to come and, in one of the weaker Group 3s can take this under the flying Andrea Atzeni.
The big handicap of the day is at 3.00, when 18 are due to go to post for the Betfred Mile Handicap and we suggest two against the field in this.
Firstly, John Gosden’s GM Hopkins, also ridden by Signor Atzeni has course form, is drawn low, likes soft ground and is 3lbs well in after its latest close second, so an e/w bet at 8-1 is recommended.
Secondly, Withernsea, trained by Richard Fahey must also be backed. Going can’t be deep enough for this 6-y-o and it comes here on the back of a 3rd of 27 in the Gigaset International just last Saturday. Also with a good draw, an e/w punt at 14-1 will have this race covered.
In the L’Ormarins Queens Plate Oak Tree Stakes at 4.40, Al Jazi goes for a repeat performance and, with the trainer having won this race in 2015 as well, we’ll go along for the ride. 5-2 are the odds of reward.
Profitable 3.35 win @ 9-4
Lord Yeats 1.50 win @ 4-1
Make Time 2.25 win @ 100-30
GM Hopkins 3.00 e/w @ 8-1
Withernsea 3.00 e/w @ 14-1
Al Jazi 4.40 win @ 5-2