LIGHTENING THE LOAD

LIGHTENING THE LOAD
September 30, 2017 Lee Bolingbroke

Day 2 of the Newmarket Cambridgeshire meeting features three Group races and two Listed events on a high class card which should be run on almost perfect racing ground.

The Shadwell Rockfel Stakes at 3.00 is a 7f Group 2 for 2-y-o fillies with 10 going to post and the favourite for this is the Braveheart trained Nyaleti at 11-4. Already a winner of a Group 3 and placed in two Group 2s, this daughter of Arch has taken her racing well and with the intermediate distance of today’s rave likely to suit, she is the one to beat.

The one who may do just that is Ger Lyons’ charge, Lightening Quick and she is our main selection at 9-2. By Frankel out of the trainer’s previous Newmarket winner Lightening Pearl, this young lady produced a sensational performance on her racecourse debut when beating 17 others, including a well-regarded Coolmore representative in a valuable Leopardstown maiden 3 weeks ago. Showing an impressive burst of speed and admirable determination, this looked a potential Group 1 performance and the sky could just be the limit.

Owned by Qatar Racing, Oisin Murphy takes over from Colin Keane today and a solid each way bet is recommended.

With Nyaleti very likely to take care of the rest of the field, it would also be prudent to have sufficient on her to recover your stake on Lightening Quick, just in case.

At 3.35, the Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) is run over a mile and although Beat The Bank is favourite across the board at 9-4, we think this race is at the mercy of Sir John Lavery and Ryan Moore.

This Galileo colt has been re-invented as a miler of late, having been tried over the Derby distance on his first two runs as a 3-y-o. This decision has worked a treat, with an easy Listed race win followed by an unlucky 4th in the Group 2 Boomerang Stakes at Leopardstown 3 weeks ago. Not young Mr Moore’s finest ride that day, but he can make amends this afternoon and a win bet is recommended at 7-2.

The day’s action starts at 1.50 with the Listed Muhaarar British EBF Rosemary Stakes, and Ralph (pronounced Rafe – very important) Beckett’s filly Amabilis is favourite at 7-2. When a filly begins to improve as quickly as this one is, we should go with the flow and look no further for a win bet.

The distaff side also takes centre stage at 2.25 with the Group 3 Princess Royal Nayef Stakes over 12 furlongs and the favourite, for whatever reason, is the disappointing Mori at 3-1. It may be that this horse owes its place in the market to connections (Stoute, Moore, Abdullah,  Frankel) rather than the form book and we are keen to take her on with Fleur Forsyte, trained by James Fanshawe. Already boasting a victory over the favourite, this Listed race winner is on the improve and should be backed at 4-1 to take this prize.

The card closes with the Silver Cambridgeshire at 5.20, with 16 runners due to go to post (fat chance).

Not a race to get too heavily involved in, but we suggest two against the field in Fire Brigade at 11-4 and Afaak e/w at 7-1.

Summary:

Lightening Quick 3.00 e/w @ 9-2
Nyaleti 3.00 small win @ 11-4
Sir John Lavery 3.35 win @ 7-2
Amabilis 1.50 win @ 7-2
Fleur Forsyte 2.25 win @ 4-1
Fire Brigade 5.20 win @ 11-4
Afaak 5.20 e/w @ 7-1

 

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