ONE DREAM, ONE PRIZE, ONE GOAL

ONE DREAM, ONE PRIZE, ONE GOAL
October 14, 2017 Lee Bolingbroke

Day 1 of the Newmarket Cesarewitch meeting has the bet365 Fillies’ Mile as its feature race at 3.35 and this Group 1 event over the Rowley mile gives Aiden O’Brien another chance to get closer to Bobby Frankel’s record of 25 Group 1 wins in a season.

Just two behind now, A O’B started with three good chances this morning, but that is now down to two with the defection of the favourite Happily, who was found to be running a temperature.

Luckily, or should I say Happily, his two other runners may have the race between them in the shape of Magical and September, who are first and second in the betting.

As Magical would have been our selection with a full field, she now becomes a confident choice, having already recorded a victory over her stablemate in the Group 2 Debutante Stakes at the Curragh in August. She has proved herself well up to Group 1 company with a short head defeat in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, again at the Curragh and is also proven on quicker ground earlier in the season. Finishing 3 lengths in front of September in both those races, the 5-2 available looks generous.

The card kicks off with the snappily named Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes, a Group 3 over 5 furlongs and if the commentator can say that twice during the race, as protocol demands, he will be the outright winner.

At 2.25, the Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes, a Group 3 for 2-y-o fillies, sees the reappearance of the unlucky Rockfel third Gavota, trained by Roger Charlton. Although there were only 10 runners in that race, Jim Crowley found himself behind a wall of horses when ready to challenge and it was too late when in the clear. James Doyle, who was aboard for the fillies’ two previous victories is back on top today and normal service should be resumed at a price of 3-1.

For the collateral form aficionados, we must also recommend an each way bet on Dark Rose Angel from the Simon Crisford yard. Beaten just a head in the Group 2 May Hill last time, with Nyaleti another head away in third, this daughter of Dark Angel will be suited by the drop back to 7f and with Nyaleti finishing second in the Rockfel, there may not be much between the two today. 11-2 are the odds of reward.

The Godolphin Stud & Stable Staff Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) takes place over 7f at 3.00 and sees Limato attempt to put the disappointments of the season behind it and is a skinny 6-4 so to do. At those odds, it’s a swerve and we recommend an each way bet on John Gosden’s 3-y-o filly Dabyah.  Not seen since finishing 4th in the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, behind three subsequent Group 1 winners, this young lady won a Group 3 at Newbury on fast ground on her seasonal reappearance, proving she goes well fresh. At 6-1, let’s hope the Mad Italian can do the biz.

A returnee is also our selection for the Join Club Godolphin Pride Stakes which closes the card at 5.20. This 3-y-o has not been seen since finishing last in the Epsom Oaks, implying a minor problem. However, on only her second run in May she won a Listed race at Newbury and can run in this Listed race without a penalty. The addition of a tongue tie and the booking of Ryan Moore makes her the sporting bet to turn over the favourite at 7-2.

Back tomorrow, with a look at the Ces.

Summary:

Magical 3.35 Newmarket win @ 5-2
Gavota 2.25 newmarket in @ 3-1
Dark Rose Angel 2.25 Newmarket e/w @ 11-2
Dabyah 3.00 Newmarket e/w @ 6-1
Natavia 5.20 Newmarket win @ 7-1

 

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