GET OUT OF JAIL FREE

GET OUT OF JAIL FREE
August 1, 2018 Lee Bolingbroke

Day 2 of Glorious Goodwood has the Group 1 Qatar Sussex Stakes as it’s highlight at 3.35, with notionally a field of eight, although So Beloved ran in the Lennox Stakes yesterday, so is unlikely to line up.

The betting has the race as a shoot-out between Without Parole and Expert Eye and that could just be right.

Mr Gosden‘s charge is unbeaten in four starts, each one better than the one before and the latest victory in the St James’s Palace at the Royal Bunfest was achieved more comfortably than the winning distance suggests. After the race, Without Parole‘s esteemed trainer promised that there is ‘plenty more to come’ and we think we should take heed.

That is not to say that the slightly enigmatic Expert Eye should be under-estimated, but, with nagging doubts about trip and temperament, we plump for a win bet on Without Parole at 15-8.

The other Group race on the card is the Markel Insurance Molecomb Stakes at 3.00 and regular readers will be aware of our aversion to 5f races. However, in this case, it is hard to ignore the claims of Archie Watson‘s runner Soldier’s Call, from a yard with a host of talented youngsters, of which this one may be the best.

Not pushed too hard to take the Listed Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out, future Group 1 entries suggest this son of Showcasing should be well up to taking this ‘en route’. A win bet at 5-2 is advised.

And now to the handicaps.

The Matchbook Betting Podcast (give me strength) Goodwood Handicap at 1.50 is run over a distance in excess of two and a half miles and the distance between first and last will be over a furlong. Favourite is the 153 hurdle rated Lil Rockerfeller, running here before embarking on a career over fences and, at 11-4, we couldn’t back it with yours.

Our two against the field, both each way, are Kloud Gate (15-2) and Piedita (9-1), the latter being ridden by Luke Morris, who, if you’ve been watching lately, seems to have adopted a new riding style a la Stephen Leacock – ‘flung himself on his horse and rode off madly in all directions’, so don’t expect a quiet ride.

At 2.25 the Move Over To Matchbook Handicap over 12 furlongs has a field of 10, headed in the market by Making Miracles at 7-2. Braveheart has won this race four times in the past decade but we shall oppose him today with an each way bet on handicap debutant Polish at 10-1.

Roger Charlton‘s runner stormed away with a maiden at Salisbury before running into one at Donny and an opening mark of 89 could prove to be lenient.

Although not on terrestrial telly, the EBF Breeders’ Series Fillies’ Handicap at 4.45 contains a worthy bet in Richard Hughes‘ representative Twenty Times, which is just 2lbs higher than when comfortable taking a Windsor handicap a couple of weeks ago and could outrun her odds of 11-1. An each way bash is ‘de rigeur’.

Back tomorrow with a look at the Nassau.

Summary:

Without Parole 3.35 Goodwood win @ 15-8
Soldier’s Call 3.00 Goodwood win @ 5-2
Kloud Gate 1.50 Goodwood e/w @ 15-2 (4 places)
Piedita 1.50 Goodwood e/w @ 9-1 (4 places)
Polish 2.25 Goodwood e/w @ 10-1
Twenty Times 4.45 Goodwood e/w @ 11-1

0 Comments

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Put Lee's advice to the test. FREE!

If you’re still not sure, why not sign-up for Lee’s next NAP for FREE! Just fill in your email address and you’ll get the next NAP delivered to your inbox.

Thanks for subscribing.