LOCK THE HEN-HOUSE!

LOCK THE HEN-HOUSE!
August 2, 2018 Lee Bolingbroke

The sun beats down on Day 3 of Glorious Goodwood, with the ground drying out almost by the minute – good news for some, not so good for others.

Main event on today’s card is the Qatar Nassau Stakes at 3.35, a Group 1 over ten furlongs, which has a select field of six.

Three of the six are vying for favouritism at 3-1 and, of those three, we have a strong preference for the William Haggas trained Urban Fox.

This 4-y-o stepped up to this trip for the first time a month ago and produced a stunning performance in winning the Group 1 Juddmonte Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh by more than 3 lengths. The quality of that performance can be put in perspective by the subsequent exploits of the second and third, both Aiden O’Brien inmates.

Forever Together (2nd) was just touched off by Mr Haggas‘s Sea Of Class in the Darley Irish Oaks, while the third, Athena, nipped over to the US of A to win the Group 1 Belmont Oaks by a long looking 2+ lengths.

We are not about to argue with this form and recommend a good whack at 3-1.

There are two other Group races on the card, starting with the Group 2 Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes over 14 furlongs at 2.25. Our bookmaker friends are having difficulty splitting God Given and Pilaster at the head of the market, but we are going to oppose both with an each way bet on Precious Ramotswe at 6-1.

Already a Group 3 winner over this trip, John Gosden‘s 4-y-o was beaten into third behind God Given (2nd) in the Lancashire Oaks last time out, but that was over 12 furlongs and there must be every chance that the Mad Italian can turn that form round on his first ride back from suspension.

The Qatar Richmond Stakes at 3.00, a Group 2 over 6f, has a complement of 9 and it’s 4-1 the field, which brings in A O’B‘s Land Force, which finished 3rd in the 5f Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot before taking a Listed race at Tipperary 4 weeks ago. It’s a long way from that to this, though, and we pass this one over in favour of the horse that finished 5th in the Norfolk and has since gone on the finish second behind the impressive Advertise in the Group 2 July Stakes at Newmarket.

The beast in question is Konchek, trained by Clive Cox, and with the step up to six unlocking hidden depths last time out, this could be a very safe each way bet at 11-2.

As per, the day starts with a competitive handicap, but fear not, we may have it sussed. Just the twelve runners, but 5-1 the field, with just about all of ’em having some sort of chance.

We gave Alfarris on Tuesday at 7-1 and we continue to follow that form line with an each way bet on Bathsheba Bay at 7-1. An unlucky neck behind Alfarris at Sandown last time out and only 1lb higher today, this Richard Hannon trained colt can give David Egan his first winner as a fully fledged professional.

We also recommend an each way bet on the ever improving Al Jellaby, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by ‘The Flailer‘. This Exceed & Excel son exceeded his previous performances and excelled himself by finishing a neck behind Ulshaw Bridge last time out. With that animal going on to be nutted in a 50 grand handicap at Ascot next time, the form stands muster (whatever that is) and we suggest an each way bet at 5-1.

Reverse forecast?

We couldn’t possibly comment.

Summary:

Urban Fox 3.35 Goodwood win @ 3-1
Precious Ramotswe 2.25 Goodwood e/w @ 6-1 (4 places)
Konchek 3.00 Goodwood e/w @ 11-2
Bathsheba Bay 1.50 Goodwood e/w @ 7-1 (4 places)
Al Jellaby 1.50 Goodwood e/w @ 5-1

0 Comments

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Put Lee's advice to the test. FREE!

If you’re still not sure, why not sign-up for Lee’s next NAP for FREE! Just fill in your email address and you’ll get the next NAP delivered to your inbox.

Thanks for subscribing.