ONLY IF WE MUST

ONLY IF WE MUST
September 22, 2018 Lee Bolingbroke

Ayr Gold Cup day has arrived, with the card also including the Silver version, so there’s a total of 50 of our four-legged friends thrashing down the track in hock deep mud – bliss.

If we had a staking plan, we’d be recommending the minimum investment on these two races – but we don’t, so it’s really up to you.

Favourite for the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup at 3.50 is the Irish trained Son Of Rest, which is 10lbs ‘well in’ having finished second in a Group 1 contest last time out. Sometimes you just have to take a view and our view of this runner is that the chances of it lasting out the sixth furlong are precisely zero. At 6-1 no thank you.

We’ll put up two against the field at more attractive prices, these being Muntadab at 12-1 and Baron Bolt at a sporting 33-1.

Both are notionally well drawn and will handle conditions, so let’s hope we get a run for our wonga.

Adopting a similar policy for the William Hill Ayr Silver Cup at 2.40 we suggest a punt on Quick Look at 9-1 (‘cos Mick says it will win) and Snazzy Jazzy at 16-1, which has it’s ground for the first time in ages.

Before all this breathless excitement, there’s a decent handicap at 2.00, the William Hill Supporting The Fight Against Parkinson’s Handicap and, although we don’t know what William Hill has against the great Sir Michael, we do know what’s going to win it – have an each way bet on Borderforce at  15-2.

There are two Group races at Newbury, both covered by ITV, the first being the Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes, which sees the return to action of Young Rascal. Winner of the Chester Vase before finishing seventh in The Derby, this potentially very smart 3-y-o has been given a long break by William Haggas but is now poised to resume his forward progress, with every drop of rain that falls increasing the stable confidence. He should be backed at 11-4.

The same weather prognosis is also relevant for the Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes at 2.55, in which True Mason takes a drop in class, having finished third in the Prix Morny last time out. Can’t be soft enough for this son of Mayson and trust Ben Curtis to get him home at 5-2.

Aye, aye – that’s yer lot.

Summary:

Muntadab 3.50 Ayr e/w @ 12-1 (6 places)
Baron Bolt 3.50 Ayr e/w @ 33-1 (6 places)
Quick Look 2.40 Ayr e/w @ 9-1 (6 places)
Snazzy Jazzy 2.40 Ayr e/w @ 16-1 (6 places)
Borderforce 2.00 Ayr e/w @ 15-2
Young Rascal 2.20 Newbury win @ 11-4
True Mason 2.55 Newbury win @ 5-2

5 Comments

  1. David hodgon 2 years ago

    Ayr gold cup winner and silver cup winner truly astonishing tipping

  2. Denis mc Grath 2 years ago

    Well done Lee I am not an EW player so not involved backed Mirage Dancer against Young Rascal

  3. Dave 2 years ago

    Great tips on Saturday. Did not get paid full odds on the dead heat on coral.co.uk for Ayr gold cup. Thanks, Dave.

  4. michael nevin 2 years ago

    Well done Lee..

    I bet with skybet and did not get full amount for dead heat with Baron Bolt….I think it worked out 50% ofstake money.
    Looking forward to your next advice.
    Michael

  5. Neilharvey56@aol.com 2 years ago

    Backed all selections as usual only been a couple of weeks with lee in front a few quid the best service I’ve been in bet with sky bet not full odds keep going lee

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