A DEGREE IN THE BLINDING OBVIOUS

A DEGREE IN THE BLINDING OBVIOUS
June 21, 2019 Lee Bolingbroke

Day 4 of the Royal Ascot race-fest and, at last, the weather gods have relented, leaving the ground a manageable good to soft.

The middle part of today’s card is dominated, betting wise, by our old mate Aiden O’Brien, who supplies the short priced favourites in all three races.

On paper they should all win and there are times, dear readers, when it doesn’t pay to look for something clever which might cause a surprise and this may be one of those times.

Japan (11-8) in the King Edward VII Stakes at 3.05, Ten Sovereigns (5-4) in the Commonwealth Cup at 3.40 and Hermosa (evens) in the Coronation Stakes at 4.20 are the races in question and they are all well clear on official ratings.

Our way to go is to suggest a Trixie (3ds and a t) on the three, with two winners causing little damage and all three winning producing a nice return.

If there is a vulnerable runner among them, it could be Ten Sovereigns, which is closely matched on last season’s form with the Simon Chrisford trained Jash, so we will throw in an each way bet on this at 5-1.

Festivities start, as per, with a cavalry charge of millions of 2-y-os in the Albany Stakes at 2.30.

More in hope than expectation we suggest a win bet on Daahyeh (9-2) and an each way bet on Galadriel (12-1).

After the three AO’B winners (well, we can hope) we get to the Sandringham Stakes at 5.00, a straight mile handicap for 27 3-y-o fillies (deep joy).

If we must, have a small each way bet on Desirous at 13-2 and an even smaller each way bet on Aim Power at 66-1.

End of day race is the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes at 5.35 over 12 furlongs and our main selection on this is Corgi, trained by Hughie Morrison.

This 4-y-o was unlucky not to land the King George V Handicap at this meeting last year and has been aimed at this race ever since. A very promising 3rd at York has provided the ideal tune up and James Crowley Esquire can steer it to victory this afternoon. Take the 13-2 on offer, each way.

Just behind Corgi at York was Hugo Palmer‘s representative Collide, and with so little between them it makes sense to give this one a whirl as well, at 12-1.

Finally, to cover all bases, the Irish-trained Arthurian Fame has the look of a big improver, probably as a result of becoming ‘sans ballons’ before the start of this season, so another each way bet is prudent at 11-1.

Back tomorrow for the final day – now to see whether England can score 400.

Summary:

Japan 3.05 Royal Ascot @ 11-8

Ten Sovereigns 3.40 Royal Ascot @ 5-4

Hermosa 4.20 Royal Ascot @ evens

2.5pts win Trixie.

Daahyeh 2.30 Royal Ascot 2pts win @ 9-2

Galadriel 2.30 Royal Ascot 1pt e/w @ 12-1

Jash 3.40 Royal Ascot 1pt e/w @ 5-1

Desirous 5.00 Royal Ascot 1pt e/w @ 13-2 (6 places)

Aim Power 5.00 Royal Ascot 0.5pts e/w @ 66-1 (6 places)

Corgi 5.35 Royal Ascot 2pts e/w @ 13-2 (5 places)

Collide 5.35 Ascot 1pt e/w @ 12-1 (5 places)

Arthurian Flame 5.35 Royal Ascot 1pt e/w @ 11-1 (5 places)

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