PAST THE POST?

PAST THE POST?
August 2, 2019 Lee Bolingbroke

Day 4 of the Goodwood July meeting is upon us and the 3.35 centrepiece is the King George Qatar Stakes, which has been won for the past two years by Battaash, which goes for the hat-trick under Jim Cowley.

Temperament issues are well documented about this 5-y-o and being ‘sans noisettes’ hasn’t made them go away, but if Battaash behaves and does what Battaash can do, the rest of the field may as well stay in their boxes.

At a best price 2-7 there’s not much we can do with this race except watch, so best to concentrate on the other televised contests.

The Group 3 Theo Fennell Oak Tree Stakes (no, me neither) at 1.50 has a field of 17, headed in the market by Sir Michael‘s Jubiloso at 5-4.

Skinny price, we grant you, but it’s difficult to get away from this one after her close third in the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. This is a big drop in class and this previously unbeaten filly might just take this field apart under Ryan Moore. We recommend a fair win bet.

The French raider Devant is also worth a saver each way at 33-1.

Already a Group 3 winner and desperately unlucky last time out, her trainer doesn’t buy a cross channel ticket for nothing and, with her usual pilot having overdone the saucissons and unable to do the weight, we get P J McDonald who rides this track so well.

At 2.25 is the Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes, a Group 3 over a mile, with nine runners still standing their ground. Our first view of this race is that Fifth Position is worthy of a higher rating than stated, having run really well in two Listed events over further, including on this track. When Fifth Position last competed over a mile it beat the smart Space Blues, which, if in this field, would be a short price favourite.

At 14-1, then, we rate this Roger Varian trained gelding a decent each way punt and hope it doesn’t live up to its name.

But for the worst draw, we would also give a cracking chance to the Charlie Appleby runner Art Du Val, who is unbeaten as a 3-y-o, comfortably taking a French Listed race last time out. With the two non-runners reducing the negative effect of the stall position, this is still worth an each way bet at 6-1.

The obligatory Bookmaker sponsored impossible handicap completes the tele coverage at 3.00 and the Unibet Golden Mile Handicap has a field of a mere   22, headed by the William Haggas trained Mojito at 7-2 after its recent Sandown win following a long break. Haggas, William also saddles last year’s winner Seniority, which is just two pounds higher than a year ago and again has Ryan Moore on top.

Both have good chances, but this race has been shown to have a distinct draw bias over the years, with traps 1-6 being the successful ones and we’ll stick with the stats by recommending each way bets on Game Player (stall 1) and Baltic Baron (stall 6) at 6-1 and 12-1 respectively.

That’s yer lot – back tomorrow to sort out the two versions of the Stewards’ Cup – bliss.

Summary:

Jubiloso 1.50 Goodwood 6pts win @ 5-4

Devant 1.50 Goodwood 0.5pts e/w @ 33-1 (4 places)

Fifth Position 2.25 Goodwood 1.5pts e/w @ 14-1

Art Du Val 2.25 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 6-1

Game Player 3.00 Goodwood 1.5pts e/w @ 6-1 (5 places)

Baltic Baron 3.00 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 12-1 (5 places)

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