DON’T YOU JUST LOVE IT

DON’T YOU JUST LOVE IT
October 11, 2019 Lee Bolingbroke

Racing from three different venues on TV today, with action coming from NewmarketYork and Chepstow, whose meeting heralds the start of the new jumps season.

Over to HQ first, where the main event is the bet365 Fillies’ Mile at 3.35.

This Group 1 race features the current ante post favourite for the 1000 Guineas in the shape of Quadrilateral, who was last seen destroying her field by 9 lengths in a Class 2 conditions race at Newbury.

Bypassing Listed and Groups 2 & 3 to pitch her into a Group 1 is a big call by Roger Charlton and we prefer to stick with proven Group 1 form and back Love each way at 11-2.

AO’B‘s filly took the Moyglare Stud Stakes last time out, a race that has worked out like a dream.

Second was Daahyeh who pouched the Rockfel Stakes next time and the horse in sixth ran away with the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac last Sunday.

Love has crossed swords with today’s second favourite, the unbeaten Cayenne Pepper and has 5+ lengths to make up, but that was the filly’s first ever appearance on a racecourse and was somewhat undercooked to say the least. Being by Galileo out of a Pivotal mare, any wet stuff that falls (likely) can only help and Ryan Moore can (hopefully) steer her home in front.

Newmarket action kicks off with the Cornwallis Stakes (there’s a lot more words in the title, but we can’t be asked) at 1.50 and we have no hestitation in recommending a win bet on the favourite, Platinum Star at 7-4.

Easy winner of a Listed race over 6f last time out, Saeed Bin Suroor‘s colt ran arguably his best race when a close second of 21 over the minimum trip in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot on soft ground, so today’s conditions should hold no fears.

The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes at 2.25 has the favourite also supplied by Mr Suroor with Final Song, but we have a preference for the second in, Stylistique at 11-4.

Unusual to select a maiden to win a Group 3, we admit, but Roger Varian‘s filly just failed to overhaul the aforementioned Daahyeh last time out, over this CD and deserves to get her pretty head in front.

We’ll take a pass on the Challenge Stakes at 3.00 on the grounds that we haven’t a scooby what will win it, which leaves the daunting looking handicap at 4.10, the Old Rowley Cup.

Briefly, we go two against the field in this 19 runner affair, those being Trueshan at 11-2 and Cape Cavalli at 16-1 – each way of course.

Over at York, the featured races are both similarly fierce handicaps, the first being the Racebets Money Back 2nd3rd4thHandicap at 2.40.

Our fancy for this, as an each way punt is Alemaratalyoum at 11-2.

At its best when the mud is flying, pray for rain and, if you are placing your bet by phone, probably best to say “No. 2, please”.

The Racebets Handicap at 3.50 has a short priced favourite despite the 18 runner field and that beastie is Hamish, trained by William Haggas.

Comfortable winner of the Melrose over CD last time out and equally at home on soft ground, Danny Tudhope‘s mount must take all the beating and, even at 13-8, should be backed.

One opponent which could give the fav a race is the Mick Easterby trained Elysian Flame, which comes here of the back of a close third in a similar event at Haddock, so we suggest an each way bet on this one at 9-1.

Just the one race being shown from Chepstow, the Unibet Persian War Novices’ Hurdle at 2.10.

Favourite for this is a horse making its hurdles debut, Thyme Hill, which was last seen finishing third in the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival. We have little doubt Philip Hobbs knows what he is doing, but it is still a very big ask and we think an each way bet on Alan King‘s Harambe could pay dividends.

A dual Novice winner last season, this 6-y-o finished second off 133 in a handicap when last seen and running to that mark on seasonal debut will see it in the frame – at least. Take the 7-1.

Back tomorrow to suggest an each way bet on Pinatubo.

Summary:

Love 3.35 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 11-2

Platinum Star 1.50 Newmarket 2pts win @ 7-4

Stylistique 2.25 Newmarket 2pts win @ 11-4

Trueshan 4.10 Newmarket 1.5pts e/w @ 11-2 (5 places)

Cape Cavalli 4.10 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 16-1

Alemaratalyoum 2.40 York 1pt e/w @ 11-2

Hamish 3.50 York 4pts win @ 13-8

Elysian Flame 3.50 York 1pt e/w @ 9-1 (5 places)

Harambe 2.10 Chepstow 1pt e/w @ 7-1

0 Comments

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Put Lee's advice to the test. FREE!

If you’re still not sure, why not sign-up for Lee’s next NAP for FREE! Just fill in your email address and you’ll get the next NAP delivered to your inbox.

Thanks for subscribing.