After the demolition job performed by Ghaiyyath yesterday, beating the course record in the process, Charlie Appleby unleashes another ‘monster’ this afternoon when Pinatubo defends his unbeaten record in the Qipco 2000 Guineas at 3.35.
Odds against at the beginning of the week, Pinatubo is now a best priced 4-5 and we don’t do odds-on in this column.
There is little doubt that, if this son of Shamardal has trained on and he is fully tuned up, he will prevail and the stable vibes have been exuding confidence for some while.
Any horse in the field that can get within a couple of lengths of Pinatubo will probably make the frame and Arizona did just that on this course last October.
Also subject to glowing reports and with the yard’s runner yesterday performing so well, we suggest a modest each way bet at 9-1.
The Newmarket telly card kicks off with the Palace House Stakes at 1.50 and, whilst we are not lovers of 5f sprints, we think James Bethell‘s potential improver Moss Gill is worth an each way punt.
This is a step up in class for the 4-y-o, but it never stopped improving last season and should be competitive under ‘The Doyler’. Take the 9-2 on offer.
The Betfair Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes at 2.25 has a field of 7, but, according to the book, only 3 count. Of those, we like the chances of Mr Appleby‘s Magic Lily.
This 5-y-o has already pouched two Group 2 contests at Meydan earlier this year and, with only 7 races under her belt, there is hopefully more to come. A win bet at 11-4 is recommended.
The Betfair Newmarket Stakes at 3.00 has an odds-on favourite in John Gosden‘s Waldkonig, winner by 9 lengths of his only racecourse appearance. However, that was a Class 5 Maiden at Wolverhampton and today is a different cauldron of tuna. Also, this race wasn’t the plan before you-know-what surfaced and we prefer the chances of his stablemate Mishriff at a more attractive 12-1, given that the esteemed trainer has ‘had this race in mind’.
Over at Newcastle, which the cameras also visit, the main event is the Betway Sagaro Stakes over two miles and the punters’ favourite Withhold is at the top of the market at 11-4. This would be a stupendous feat of training for this horse to win today and we like the look of another 7-y-o called Prince Of Arran.
Charlie Fellowes‘ charge was an unlucky 3rd in the Melbourne Cup last November, proving its stamina for today’s trip in the process and this 3-time AW winner rates the value bat, each way, at 9-1.
The preceding Betway Handicap at 2.05 has thrown up what we hope is the day’s best bet, name of Vitralite.
Karl Burke‘s 4-y-o was unraced at two, but made up for lost time by winning its first two races as a 3-y-o and went on to run three more creditable races in ultra hot contests. There should be much more to come this season and, with yer man Curtis up top, we recommend a bit of a smash at 11-4.
That’s it – sit back and watch a superstar.
Arizona 3.35 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 9-1
Moss Gill 1.50 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 9-2 (4 places)
Magic Lily 2.25 Newmarket 2pts win @ 11-4
Mishriff 3.00 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 12-1
Prince Of Arran 2.40 Newcastle 1pt e/w @ 9-1
Vitralite 2.05 Newcastle 6pts win @ 11-4