Televised action from Newmarket and York this afternoon, with eight races being shown on ITV4.
First up at HQ is the Bahrain International Sir Henry Cecil Stakes, a Listed contest over one mile with a ‘dead eight’ field. Favourite, at a very skinny price, is Lord Campari, easy winner of a Class 5 Novice event at Newbury on June 13th. With the second and third in that race winning since, the bare form may be better than it looks, but at 5-4 it’s hardly a value bet.
We prefer to rely on proven Group race form in the shape of Al Suhail, who finished a close second to Military March on his final 2-y-o run, over this CD.
Charlie Appleby‘s colt had a spin in the 2000 Guineas behind Kameko to start his 3-y-o campaign and will meet nothing of that calibre today. At 5-1, we recommend an each way bet.
The Bahrain Trophy Stakes at 2.25 has AO’Bs Dawn Rising installed as 7-4 Favourite after a demolition job against a couple of trees in a Limerick maiden just 10 days ago. Of course, since the Derby, we have seen what these wide margin maiden winners can achieve but it may be asking a bit much for the lightning to strike twice in a week.
We hope the winner will be an ‘Al‘, with Al Dabaran and Al Aasy providing the main opposition. We gave Al Dabaran (each way) before he finished third at Royal Ascot and, on balance, we stick with him today and suggest a win bet at 100-30.
The Tattersalls July Stakes at 3.00 sees the reappearance of Her Maj‘s Royal Ascot winner Tactical who steps up to 6f for the first time. However, if Tactical is a 5-2 shot, we would rather back Yazaman, who finished an unlucky second at the Berkshire track and is available at 6-1.
Both those horses still have to beat the favourite Qaader though, so we also suggest a win bet on this one at 2-1.
We are sure you will forgive us for not getting involved with the 19 runner sprint handicap at 3.35 and moving swiftly on to the Princess of Wales Tattersalls’ Stakes at 4.10.
John Gosden‘s 5-y-o mare Enbihaar has been installed as favourite at 15-8, but for a horse that has reportedly been kept in training in an attempt to win a Group 1, one has to wonder whether she will be fully tuned up for this opening Group 2.
We prefer the chances of Dame Maillot, whose original target was the Lancashire Oaks last weekend but who was pulled out of that race when the ground turned bottomless. There will be a bottom today, though and this looks the value bet at 7-1.
Over (or oop) at York, we move rapidly past the 2.05 on the ‘haven’t got a scooby’ basis and take a look at the Tattersalls’ Musidora Stakes at 2.40, which, according to the market, involves just three runners. Of those, we give the nod to Pocket Square to make a winning seasonal debut. A winner of a Group 3 at Deauville on third and final run as a 2-y-o, Roger Charlton‘s filly will hopefully be good enough at 11-4.
The Dubai Dante Stakes at 3.15 has an odds-on shot at the head of the market in the shape of Highest Ground, which created an apparent huge impression by winning a Class 5 event at Haddock by 2+ lengths and 11 lengths. However, the horse in second is spelt ‘d-o-d-g-e-p-o-t’ and the third has since been beaten again in Class 5, so we take a deepish breath and oppose with a sneaky each way bet on Cormorant at 7-1. This horse’s defeat of Russian Emperor on 3-y-o debut could have been a fluke but, then again………. Let’s see what The Doyler can do.
Time to watch the rain at the Test Match – back tomorrow.
Al Suhail 1.50 Newmarket 1.5pts e/w @ 5-1
Al Dabaran 2.25 Newmarket 2pts win @ 100-30.
Yazaman 3.00 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 6-1
Qaader 3.00 Newmarket 2pts win @ 2-1
Dame Maillot 4.10 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 7-1 (2 places)
Pocket Square 2.40 York 2pts win @ 11-4
Cormorant 3.15 York 1pt e/w @ 7-1