KNOCKIN’ AT EVAN’S DOOR

KNOCKIN’ AT EVAN’S DOOR
January 9, 2021 Lee Bolingbroke

All meetings today have passed their inspections, which means no less than ten races on the box, from three different courses.

Main event at Chepstow is the Coral Welsh Grand National at 3.10, which has a field of 18 and is, as usual, impossible to sort out – or is it?

It’s an open secret that winning this race is a life-long ambition of Evan Williams and today might just be the day the dream is fulfilled.

In Secret Reprieve, EW has a horse that appears to tick all the boxes, having won the trial for this race by a facile 12 lengths, on true ‘Chepstow Heavy‘, which appertains to the going this afternoon.

The race conditions mean that this 7-y-o can run off 8lbs less than in future races and the trainer is confident that his pet will get the extra yardage, so, although well found in the market, we recommend a bet at 7-2.

Mr Williams also has another good chance with his other runner Prime Venture, a horse that reserves its best for this track and finished 4th in the race last year. The warm up race resulted in an easy win at Sedgefield, leading us to recommend an each way tickle at 10-1.

If there is to be a party pooper, it could be called Springfield Fox, a likely improver for which this race has been a long-term plan, so it makes sense to back this one each way as well. 8-1 are the odds of reward.

The other televised race in Wales is the Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle at 1.25, which has a short priced favourite in Nassalam at 11-10.

Gary Moore‘s youngster has taken the fields apart in both runs for the yard since coming over from France and is probably a worthy jolly, but we are going to suggest a modest each way bet on Yggdrasil at a more artisan 12-1.

Although named after a Norse tree, Nick Williams‘ gelding showed it wasn’t one with an impressive racecourse debut in a Class 2 event at Sandown, finishing stylishly into third. Starting a horse off at that level is either fanciful or indicative of something special, so having its second race in a Grade 1 may not be as mad as it seems.

Five races are being televised from Kempton, kicking off with the Ladbrokes Handicap Chase at 1.10. We advise ‘dutching’ this race with a win bet on last year’s winner Erick Le Rouge at 100-30 and an each way bet on The Bay Birch at 8-1. That should cover it.

The Ladbrokes…Handicap Chase at 1.45 looks at the mercy of Two For Gold, which should be backed at 7-2.

The Relkeel Hurdle at 2.20 sees the return to action of McFabulous, which has been installed at 11-10. May very well win, but we suggest a minor punt on the only female in the race Indefatigable at 16-1.

Paul Webber‘s 8-y-o doesn’t have a whole lot to find on official ratings and could well outrun her odds under the great Ritchie.

The Ladbrokes Silvianaco Conti Chase at 2.55 is best left to Imperial Aura, but at 5-6 we are ‘no bet’.

The Labrokes Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle at 3.30 has a maximum field of 20 at which we will throw three darts.

Glynn from the Henderson yard is first – a completely unexposed 7-y-o after just two runs under rules – take the 7-1 available.

Two ‘rags’ we think might run above themselves are our other picks – Dhowin at 16-1 and Boreham Bill at a derisory 80-1 – you heard it here first.

Down at Wincanton two of the races have an uncompetitive look about them with a shortie in each, so we will content ourselves with a bet in the MansionBet Handicap Chase at 3.45.

In this race we like the look of Gardefort, trained by the fragrant Venetia. If you go back far enough, this spritely 11-y-o won a Class 2 chase over this CD off a mark of 139 – not that good nowadays, but good enough to have a good shout off today’s mark of 124. Have a win bet at 4-1 please.

A darkened room beckons.

Summary:

Secret Reprieve 3.10 Chepstow 3pts win @ 7-2

Prime Venture 3.10 Chepstow 1pt e/w @ 10-1 (6 places Paddy/Skybet)

Springfield Fox 3.10 Chepstow 1pt e/w @ 8-1 (6 places Paddy/Skybet)

Yggdrasil 1.25 Chepstow 1pt e/w @ 12-1

Erick Le Rouge 1.10 Kempton 2pts win @ 100-30

The Bay Birch 1.10 Kempton 1pt e/w @ 8-1

Two For Gold 1.45 Kempton 2pts win @ 7-2

Indefatigable 2.20 Kempton 1pt e/w @ 16-1 (3 places Paddy)

Glynn 3.30 Kempton 1.5pts e/w @ 7-1 (5 places)

Dhowin 3.30 Kempton 1pt e/w @ 16-1 (5 places)

Boreham Bill 3.30 Kempton 1pt e/w @ 80-1 (5 places William Hill)

Gardefort 3.45 Wincanton 2pts win @ 4-1

65 Comments

  1. Jeremy Hart 7 months ago

    Another cracking week I’ve £200 profit from very small bets lee has the golden touch

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Jeremy stay safe

  2. Phillip Nott 7 months ago

    Hi, Lee, you have certainly proved to me that you are head and shoulders above any of the other tipsters I use so glad I stuck with you

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Phillip stay safe

  3. Lewis Eiffert 7 months ago

    Well done Lee, a day to rember.

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Lewis stay safe

  4. Kevin Finan 7 months ago

    Cheers Lee
    Great day

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Kevin stay safe

  5. Brian Oxton 7 months ago

    Great result today 80/1 winner great write ups
    Highly recommend service.

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Brian stay safe

  6. Andrew Whyte 7 months ago

    Hi Lee
    Excellent day !!
    Thank Buddy 👍👍👍👍
    Best Regards
    Andy

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Andrew stay safe

  7. Roger Grant 7 months ago

    AWESOME This tipping only needs one word AWESOME

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Roger stay safe

  8. Roger Westlake 7 months ago

    Hi Lee and many congratulations on today’s advices.
    I must be the unluckiest man in the world. Just over a week ago someone tried to fraudulently access my bank account. Barclays cancelled my debit card and because of COVID we’ve had no post for a week so the replacement card still hasn’t arrived. So I couldn’t deposit any funds to my Skybet account and couldn’t have a bet today.
    Hopefully my luck will change.
    Regards
    Roger

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Roger stay safe

  9. Michael Finnerty 7 months ago

    How about knockin’ on Emma’s door Lee??

    What a tip??? Outstanding. Brilliant and wonderful selection. Congratulations and thanks.😀👍

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Michael stay safe

  10. Ian Finlay 7 months ago

    Hi Lee

    Excellent work today. Really glad I joined.

    Ian

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Ian stay safe

  11. Brian Oxton 7 months ago

    Highly recomend service 80/1 winner today this is not unusual.

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Brian stay safe

  12. David Campbell 7 months ago

    Cheers Lee got 50/1 on borham keep up the good work looking forward to another fantastic year cheers once again David c

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks David stay safe

  13. Philip Gandy 7 months ago

    Lee , once again you have shown just what an incredible judge of form you are. Exciting and extremely profitable day , keep on rolling. Many thanks

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Phillip stay safe

  14. Robert 7 months ago

    Another excellent day from tips from Lee not big bets but I enjoy punting on Lees tips however even though sky bet pay you ASAP if they add an extra place you don’t get the best odds and this week that cost me over £200 . But a winner is a winner and hopefully sticking with Lee there will be lots more

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Robert stay safe

  15. John 7 months ago

    22/1 winner mid week and 80/1 today and by no Fluke either.
    Fantastic tips again thank you. long may it continue.

    John

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks John stay safe

  16. David Walker 7 months ago

    Fantastic Lee many thanks a great day 👍😃🥃 not looking forward to the hangover 😂

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Same as you David stay safe

  17. John Martin 7 months ago

    Today was my best day with your tips ty.
    I meant to take advantage of your offer last night but rather focused on my move to Eastbourne .Perhaps it might come up again?
    I did manage to set up a Sky Bet Account[ and on my phone] which was painless compared to so many others which are clunky hence the good day. Some times I wonder if some of the bookmakers actually want the business. I had a terrible password sage with Coral last year where they just could not get it right so I gave up and took back my stake. Sky is a vast improvement.
    Best John

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks John

  18. WALLY PEARSON 7 months ago

    Fantastic but mortifying at the same time 3.05 pm sat. Start message with friend who has just finished quarantine 3.09 finish message saying have to get a bet on, get on betfair exchange 110 price click over for place odds my wife is asleep on sofa recently lost father , 7 days ago, knock on the front door grandchildren doing a drive by to cheer up nanny wife now awake general chaos ensues at the same time delivery driver arrives with box of flowers for wife in sympathy get things settled down back to TV and laptop to see Bill strolling past the winning line . *******. Not on ****** regards Wally

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks for comments Wally and how very frustrating for you and my sympathies to your wife & it sounds like you have amazing grandchildren – stay safe Lee

  19. WALLY PEARSON 7 months ago

    To Lee and the team very professional service , excellence in assessment , keep up the good work. WCP.

  20. STEPHEN LITTLE 7 months ago

    22/1 winner midweek and nice couple today, combined with a couple of my own this has been a memorable week.
    I am very impressed!

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Stephen great day & stay safe

  21. nathaniel dass 7 months ago

    Hi Lee,
    What a cracking Day. Unbelievable for me backing 80/1 winner and big race winner. Of course e/w bets as well. Thanks for making my day profitable. God bless you.
    Keep it up and keep safe

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Nathaniel much appreciated and stay safe.

  22. Gary Sherlow 7 months ago

    Fantastic day today. Although I’m only a small punter I have the biggest grin after smashing the bookie. I’m always sceptical regarding tipsters claims and Lee is honest and forthright when he’s had a bad week. Fortunately though for us who have stayed loyal,the results show that he is one step ahead of other so called tipsters and there has been some seriously unlucky losers along with the great winners. Great service and keep em coming Lee 👍🏻

    • Lee Bolingbroke 7 months ago

      Thanks Gary much appreciated & stay safe

  23. Alan Middleton 7 months ago

    Fantastic day Lee just managed to get my bets on today, as i coulnt get on my bets until 2pm. Glad i did as i managed 66 . 1 .Very profitable day for small stakes. Thanks.

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Alan much appreciated and stay safe.

  24. Rober Purbrick 7 months ago

    Only recently joined your group Lee. But very happy with your service. Thank you Lee. 😁

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Robert much appreciated and stay safe.

  25. Kevin 7 months ago

    Excellent day thanks to lee top tipping keep it up lee best day I’ve had in a long time 😀😀

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Kevin much appreciated and stay safe.

  26. Dave 7 months ago

    Congratulations Lee on a brilliant day. Missed out on the 80/1 but who cares, it’s not very Day I back a 66/1 winner. Keep up the good work and happy New Year to you all.

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Dave much appreciated and stay safe.

  27. Simon Chell 6 months ago

    Absolutely fantastic tipping Lee I’m so glad I decided to add the Saturday review to my premium service what a week following the premium tip winning at 22/1 in the week 😀

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Simon much appreciated and stay safe.

  28. Karl Craig-West 6 months ago

    Hi Lee,

    Thanks for a great service, only been a member for a few weeks and already well into profit over and above membership fees. (and, yes, you can quote me on that).

    Now, I know this is an odd request but I’ve just moved to New Zealand and your email yesterday came through just after midnight here. And by the time I read it, in the morning, the races had all been run and I missed the opportunities..

    So, is there any chance you could try to send your email on Saturday an hour earlier so I don’t have to stay awake so late to avoid missing anything?

    many thanks and best regards,

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Karl much appreciated and stay safe.

  29. Bob Sargent 6 months ago

    Hi Lee, what a fantastic days racing you gave, your information is second to none, and the 80/1 winner, was exceptional. I would strongly recommend that if you take your betting seriously, and want the very best horse racing analysis and information, then look no further than the L.B.R. racing services, trust me, they are very profitable. Bob.

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Bob much appreciated and stay safe.

  30. raymond layton 6 months ago

    absolutely amazing have given me emense pleasure with the winners you supply me lee i always think no matter what price they have a chance when you send me the tips you certainly know when a horsde is placed well to win 1st class service keep up the good work lee 1st class!!!!

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Raymond much appreciated and stay safe.

  31. Michael Dono 6 months ago

    Good Man Lee

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Michael much appreciated and stay safe.

  32. Darrell Griffith 6 months ago

    awesome keep up the good work

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Darrell much appreciated and stay safe.

  33. Michael Finnerty 6 months ago

    I’ve received many great tips from Lee in the past, 10/1, 16/1, 20/1 and 25/1 winners and maybe a lot more at big prices, if only I could remember. However, today beats all with a winner tipped at 80/1 this morning, yes 80/1. Had a nice e/w bet on it as recommended. That is without a shadow of doubt the best tip I’ve ever received. Great tipping Lee and thanks for all the tips.

    • Author
      Lee Bolingbroke 6 months ago

      Thanks Michael much appreciated and stay safe

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