THE HIGH NUMBERS

THE HIGH NUMBERS
July 10, 2021 Lee Bolingbroke

A veritable plethora of chances to do your brains today, with televised racing from three Grade 1 tracks, Newmarket, York and Ascot and if you are wondering what happened to the music themed headline, be advised that the above was the original name of The Who.

Over to HQ to begin with the Bedford Lodge Fillies Handicap at 2.05, in which we hope that Riknnah can continue her winning sequence and complete a four-timer. Just 3lbs higher than her CD victory at the end of last month and Popeye again in the plate, we recommend an each way bet at 11-2.

The bet365 Mile Handicap over, er, a mile has a short priced favourite in the Charlie Appleby trained Royal Fleet, winner of a Class 5 event at Yarmouth in April and making handicap debut off a mark of 93. That mark looks high enough and we think the value may be an each way bet on Kaheall.

William and Tom‘s gelding has run up a hat-trick of wins on the AW, but its one turf run, a close third behind the now 112 rated El Drama suggests there could still be mileage in the mark of 87. Back it at 5-1.

The bet365 Superlative Stakes at 3.15 has been the nominated target for Native Trail since winning on debut at Sandown last month and, given the ammunition available to Mr Appleby, all has apparently gone to plan. Let’s have a win bet at 9-4.

The first of the multi-runner handicaps is at 3.50 with the bet365 Bunbury Cup over 7 furlongs and a field of 19.

We think we may have this race sussed and hope that a win bet on Perotto (4-1) together with each way bets on Fundamental (13-2) and Lord Rapscallion (20-1) will produce a decent return.

Main event of the whole meeting, the Group 1 Darley July Cup takes place at 4.25 and the question is can last year’s winner Oxted be usurped by one of the younger upstarts?

Roger Teal‘s hero came right back to its best at Royal Ascot, taking the King’s Stand Stakes with authority and, from what is probably a favourable draw, we hope a repeat is on the cards. Have an each way bet at 11-2.

To York next and the John Smith’s Racing Handicap at 1.45 which, at 13-2 the field, is fiercely competitive.

We give a good shout to Ivan Furtado‘s ex-French trained 5-y-o Eagle Way, which has run two stormers since joining this yard and has the services of Big Jim this afternoon. At 12-1, this looks the value e/w punt.

The Group 3 John Smith’s Silver Cup at 2.20 sees the seasonal reappearance of Fujaira Prince, which has won first time out for the past three years and is a course and distance winner to boot. Clearly this has been the plan and we should wade in at 9-2.

Just 21 runners in the John Smith’s Handicap at 4.05, so we will only throw a couple of darts at it, those being Astro King at 9-2 and Lucander at 12-1.

We move on to Ascot and the Group 2 Betfred Summer Mile Stakes at 3.00, in which we really like the chances of Tilsit, trained by Charlie Hills.

Group 3 winner last season, Tilsit ran out of his skin at Longchamp at the end of May, just being touched off in a Group 1 and a repeat of that effort will see him go very close today. Let’s go each way at 5-1.

The other televised race at Ascot is a 19 runner 5f handicap with which we have absolutely no intention of being involved.

Let’s hope Frankie Dettori is down in the dumps tomorrow night.

Summary:

Riknnah 2.05 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 11-2 (4 places Hills/Skybet)

Kaheall 2.40 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 5-1 (2 places)

Native Trail 3.15 Newmarket 2pt win @ 9-4

Perotto 3.50 Newmarket 2pts win @ 4-1

Fundamental 3.50 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 13-2 (6 places)

Lord Rapscallion 3.50 Newmarket 0.50pts e/w @ 20-1 (6 places)

Oxted 4.25 Newmarket 1.5pts e/w @ 11-2 (5 places)

Eagle Way 1.45 York 1pt e/w @ 12-1 (5 places) / 11-1 (6 places) SkyBet

Fujaira Prince 2.20 York 1.5pts e/w @ 9-2

Astro King 4.05 York 1.5pts e/w @ 9-2 (7 places) SkyBet

Lucander 4.05 York 1pt e/w @ 12-1 (5 places) / 11-1 (7 places) SkyBet

Tilsit 3.00 Ascot 1.5pts e/w @ 5-1

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