STEWARDS’ ENQUIRY – WHO WILL WIN?

STEWARDS’ ENQUIRY – WHO WILL WIN?
July 30, 2022 Lee Bolingbroke

Final day of the Goodwood Festival has rolled round and the feature, as ever, is the Coral Stewards’ Cup at 3.20.

A maximum field of 28, charging down the width of the track is not, perhaps, the greatest model for serious betting, but, in picking a trio of darts young and old, we hope to have it sorted.

Regional is the youngster, from the yard of Ed Bethell and the mount of Ryan Moore. This gelding comes here after a storming prep run at Doncaster and is 3lbs well in off the same mark. 8-1 is the current price.

Next oldest is the 6-y-o Chil Chil from Andrew Balding‘s yard, which competes in a handicap for the first time in years, having been plying its trade at Group level. With stable star Conditional Harry Davies taking off 5lbs this is a must each way shout at 9-1.

Old boy of the party is the 8-y-o winner of this race in 2020 Summerghand which is 11lbs lower today and looked to be coming into form last time out. 14-1 is the price of this one.

Televised action begins at 1.05 with a Maiden containing an 8-13 poke, so we swerve immediately and move on to the Stewards’ Cup Consolation at 1.40.

This race is all about the 6-5 Favourite, Lethal Levi, which was 16-1 when winning for the Preview at Newmarket and has since followed up at HQ off a 7lb higher mark. By a quirk of the system, Karl Burke‘s 3-y-o can run here off a 1lb lower mark, which explains the skinny price. Goodwood is about as far away as you can get from Newmarket in terms of track configuration, so, although on paper this horse is a knocking certainty, we are content just to watch.

The Coral Summer Handicap at 2.10 is a different cauldron of tuna as it throws up today’s best bet in the shape of Cemhaam.

George Baker‘s 5-y-o won two handicaps at Salisbury (similar type of track) before finishing 7th of 18 at Royal Ascot over 12 furlongs. Given a Pat Cosgrave ‘special’ that day, the horse found all the trouble going and finished on the hooves of the placed horses still on the bridle.

Back to its best distance today and with the fragrant Hollie once more in the saddle, a third victory is in the offing. Unsurprisingly it has been strong in the market but we still go each way at 4-1.

Main danger, if there is one, is the improving Bague D’Or, which just does enough to win and therefore stays ahead of the handicapper, so we’ll put a win cover bet on this one at 9-2.

The Group 2 Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes at 2.45 is a match according to the market and our preference is for the 3-y-o Emily Dickinson at 2-1.

AO’B‘s girl is a big improver and the WFA allowance should tip the scales in her favour.

The Medallia Handicap at 3.55 closes the televised coverage and, in this, we think the unexposed Spirit Of Nguru is the each way bet at 6-1.

Two races are being shown from Newmarket, starting with the valuable EBF Nursery at 1.55.

Our main selection is Braveheart‘s runner Queen Of Deauville, the mount of Will Buick. It’s handicap debut third at Doncaster has already been franked and, off just a pound higher, 4-1 looks very fair.

We also chance a small each way bet on handicap debutante Transfer Affection from Kevin Ryan‘s yard, after showing promise in the statutory three qualifying runs. A mark of 70 looks low and 12-1 looks high.

The Listed Chalice Stakes at 2.25 completes the picture and, on all visible form, this will be won by Rose Of Kildare, who ran a stormer here two weeks ago to be second after a long absence.

Not an exciting price at 11-8, but a winner is a winner etc etc.

That’s it – we’re off to get tickets for Wembley.

Summary:

Regional 3.20 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 8-1 (7 places)

Chil Chil 3.20 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 9-1 (7 places)

Summerghand 3.20 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 14-1 (7 places)

Cemhaan 2.10 Goodwood 3pts e/w @ 4-1 (4 places)

Bague D’Or 2pts win @ 9-2

Emily Dickinson 2.45 Goodwood 2pts win @ 2-1

Spirit Of Nguru 3.55 Goodwood 1pt e/w @ 6-1

Queen Of Deauville 1.55 Newmarket 2pts win @ 4-1

Transfer Affection 1.55 Newmarket 1pt e/w @ 12-1

Rose Of Kildare 2.25 Newmarket 3pts win @ 11-8

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